Progression Step 4 · Ages 11–14

Mathematics

Probability & Basic Statistics

Probability scale, equally likely outcomes and averages in context.

Probability describes chance; statistics summarises data – both need careful language.

Probability

Scale 0 to 1. Equally likely outcomes: P = favourable ÷ total.

Averages

Mean, median, mode, range – when each is useful.

Misconceptions

Past results do not change independent fair trials.

P(rolling a 3 on a fair die)?

1/6.

Practice

  1. 1. P(impossible event)?

  2. 2. When is the median useful?